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SIPRI
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
SIPRI Update: Global Security & Arms Control
Issues, events and publications in conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament

September 2012

In this issue:

ESSAY

The Iraq Action Team: a model for monitoring and verification of WMD non-proliferation

Ambassador Rolf Ekéus
This month, the United Nations General Assembly opens its annual meeting in New York. The General Assembly’s First Committee on Disarmament is one of the few venues in which both nuclear and non-nuclear weapon state representatives have the opportunity to discuss options to strengthen the worldwide nuclear non-proliferation regime. The ‘action team’ that operated in Iraq in the 1990s provides a model for a more effective non-proliferation body.

Continue reading ...

 
NEWS  

SIPRI welcomes new Director


SIPRI is pleased to announce the appointment of Professor Dr Tilman Brück as its new Director. Professor Brück, who will assume his post on 1 January 2013, is a development economist and an internationally renowned expert on the economics of peace, security and post-war reconstruction. He is currently Professor of Development Economics at Humboldt University of Berlin and Head of the Department of Development and Security at the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin.
Read the full press release in English, French, German, Spanish and Swedish.
Image: Professor Dr Tilman Brück
Professor Dr Tilman Brück.
NEWS  

SIPRI expert comment on the European Union–China Summit

Where to next for relations between China and the European Union?

On 20 September 2012 Chinese and European leaders met for the 15th EU–China High Level Summit in Brussels. It was Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao’s tenth and final appearance at the yearly gathering. Despite the current economic and political turbulence in both Asia and Europe, both sides focused instead on consolidating the progress in bilateral relations that has been made in the past 10 years.

Read the expert comment by SIPRI Researcher Oliver Bräuner.
Image: Oliver Bräuner
Oliver Bräuner.
NEWS  

SIPRI expert comment on the proposed BAE–EADS merger

What will it mean for intra-European collaboration?

The proposed merger between BAE Systems and European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS) announced in a
statement to the London Stock Exchange on 12 September raises a number of interesting questions about the future of the world arms and military services industry.

Read the expert comment by SIPRI Senior Researcher Dr Susan T. Jackson.
Image: Dr Susan T. Jackson
Dr Susan T. Jackson.
NEWS  

SIPRI expert comment on insider attacks in Afghanistan

The factors behind the rise in green-on-blue incidents need to be thoroughly investigated. 

An escalation in insider attacks, also known as ‘green-on-blue’ incidents, signifies a new trend of violence that is having a serious impact on the military strategy of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF). These attacks have been perpetrated against foreign soldiers (US, ISAF and NATO) and civilian contractors by Afghans either affiliated with the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) or wearing ANSF uniforms.

Read the expert comment by SIPRI Senior Researcher Dr Bruce Koepke.
Image: Dr Bruce Koepke
Dr Bruce Koepke.
NEWS  

SIPRI Korea Foundation Fellowship/Internship Programme


SIPRI is pleased to announce a new partnership with the Korea Foundation under which Korean junior scholars and graduate students will undertake fellowships at SIPRI. Successful applicants will have an opportunity to conduct advanced and policy-oriented research related to Korea, as well as to participate in scholarly discourse on key public policy issues. The deadline for applications is 28 September 2012. View the Korea Foundation’s Youtube clip on the programme, or visit the Foundation’s website for more information.
Image: Korea Foundation logo

EVENTS AND ACTIVITIES

Upcoming SIPRI events and activities

1–3 Nov.
Washington, DC
  The Missing Peace: Sexual Violence in Conflict and Post-conflict Settings
The United States Institute of Peace (USIP), the Human Rights Center at the University of California, Berkeley, the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and SIPRI North America will convene a group of scholars, policymakers, practitioners, and military and civil society actors to examine the issue of sexual violence in conflict and post-conflict settings, identify gaps in knowledge and reporting, and explore how to increase the effectiveness of current responses to such violence. The keynote speaker will be Ms Zainab Hawa Bangura, UN Special Representative of the Secretary-General on Sexual Violence in Conflict. The symposium, which will also feature a young scholar exchange forum, will be broadcast via the Internet. Resources for both participants and media are available online.

  
2 Oct.
Washington, DC

  Women, Peace and Security in Afghanistan
Women in International Security (WIIS) and Amnesty International will host a discussion on current and future challenges and opportunities facing Afghan women, including their representation and participation in politics, economics and social development. Speakers will include Mahbouba Seraj, Founder and Director of the Organization for Research in Peace and Solidarity; and Hasina Safi, Executive Director of the Afghanistan Women’s Education Centre. The event will be moderated by Chantal de Jonge Oudraat, Executive Director of SIPRI North America. For more information contact WIIS.

  
30–31 Oct.
Addis Ababa

  SIPRI Expert Seminar on Monitoring Illicit Arms Flows: Supporting Actors in Peacekeeping Environments
SIPRI is organizing an expert seminar on arms trafficking and supporting actors in peacekeeping environments that will bring arms trafficking investigators, UN sanctions monitors and civil aviation experts together with African Union (AU) and UN officials working in peacekeeping missions in Cote d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Liberia, Somalia and Sudan. The seminar is being organized within the framework of an EU Council Decision under the auspices of the High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy. For further information visit the CIT–MAP page on the SIPRI website or email the organizers.


  

Recent SIPRI events and activities

28–29 Aug.
New York
  SIPRI Expert Seminar on Arms Trafficking and side events
SIPRI’s Countering Illicit Trafficking–Mechanism Assessment Projects (CIT–MAP) organized an EU expert seminar on arms trafficking. The event was sponsored by the Permanent Mission of Sweden to the UN and involved more than 90 participants working in the fields of arms trafficking prevention, civil aviation, sanctions, proliferation, customs, disarmament, defence and counter-narcotics. Senior Researcher and head of CIT–MAP Hugh Griffiths presented on information-sharing and risk-assessment software for monitoring suspect actors and flights; containerization, trafficking and proliferation trends; and effective tools for monitoring and controlling high-risk open-registry vessels. During a lunchtime side event entitled ‘Illicit transfers and containerization: countering a global threat’, Aaron Dunne of SIPRI’s Dual-Use and Arms Trade Control Programme gave a presentation on the so-called Trade Information Superhighway. Mark Bromley of the SIPRI Arms Transfers Programme gave a presentation on the role of sanctions monitoring in improving the oversight of arms transfers to post-conflict states. Edin Omanovic, CIT–MAP Projects Coordinator, presented a paper entitled ‘Overflight control and denial: mechanisms for stemming destabilizing arms transfers via air’. During a second lunchtime side event, SIPRI Researcher Lawrence Dermody of CIT–MAP presented on challenges and opportunities in counter-trafficking, proliferation and maritime crime investigations. Read more about the 35 presentations by leading investigators and academics, UN agency staff and member state officials during the two day event.


  
18 Sep.
Stockholm
  Geneva International Centre for Humanitarian Demining visit to SIPRI
A delegation from the Geneva International Centre for Humanitarian Demining (GICHD), headed by its Director, Ambassador Stephan Husy, visited SIPRI. Before the meeting, Ambassador Husy talked to the SIPRI Communications team about the third annual meeting of the states parties to the Convention on Cluster Munitions in Oslo the previous week, progress in implementing the Anti-personnel Mines Convention, and the potential role of SIPRI in humanitarian arms control. Watch a YouTube video of the interview.

  
11–12 Sep.
New Delhi
  SIPRI co-hosts workshop in India on export control and nuclear security
The SIPRI Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-proliferation Programme, in collaboration with the Indian Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), organized a two-day workshop examining Indian and EU perspectives on export control and nuclear security. At the workshop, Indian and European experts examined current policies and practices, explored the similarities and differences between them, and discussed how to develop more effective instruments in the field of nuclear security and export control. For more information contact Ian Anthony, Director of the SIPRI Arms Control and Non-proliferation Programme.

  
10–11 Sep.
Almaty
  SIPRI holds Wider Central Asia initiative workshop
SIPRI, in collaboration with KIMEP University and with support from the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs and the Bosch Foundation, organized a two-day workshop in Almaty, Kazakhstan, entitled 'Pakistan and Afghanistan in an evolving regional order' as a part of the SIPRI Wider Central Asia initiative. The workshop, the second in the series of regional dialogue meetings that SIPRI is conducting on conflict and security issues related to Afghanistan and its neighbourhood, brought together authoritative experts from China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan to share their insights on how Afghanistan and the wider region are likely to evolve following the expected Western military drawdown in 2014. Findings from the initial round of regional meetings will be presented in February 2013. For more information contact Theresa Höghammar, Researcher with the SIPRI Armed Conflict and Conflict Management Programme.

  
10 Sep.
Stockholm
  SIPRI expert presents on African civil society
SIPRI Senior Fellow Dr Elisabeth Sköns, head of the SIPRI Africa Security and Governance project, participated in an expert discussion organized by the Swedish Defence Research Institute (FOI) about future developments in sub-Saharan Africa. The event brought together experts from a variety of fields. Contact Dr Elisabeth Sköns for more details.
      
 
 
9 Sep.
Oslo
  SIPRI expert presents results of military spending report
Dr Sam Perlo-Freeman, Director of the SIPRI Military Expenditure and Arms Production Programme, gave a presentation at a seminar organized by the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI). The theme of the seminar was ‘Smarter defence for less money’, and approximately 100 people were in attendance, mostly members of the Norwegian military, the Norwegian Ministry of Defence (MOD) and the FFI. Dr Perlo-Freeman presented the results of a report for FFI on North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) military spending in the wake of the financial crisis.
 
  
4 Sep.
Stockholm
  Rose Gottemoeller visits SIPRI
US Acting Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security Rose Gottemoeller spoke about her experiences spearheading US efforts to help revitalize conventional arms control in Europe. Since 2009, former SIPRI Governing Board member Rose Gottemoeller has worked as US Assistant Secretary of State for the Bureau of Arms Control, Verification and Compliance. She was made Acting Under Secretary in February 2012. Read the full text of her speech.

  
30 Aug.
Stockholm
  SIPRI hosts workshop on the nexus between global health and security
On 30 August SIPRI hosted a workshop on the relationship between health and security. The workshop, organized within the context of the Group of Eight Global Partnership Against the Spread of Weapons and Materials of Mass Destruction (G8GP), reaffirmed the importance of partnering with health professionals to achieve global biological security goals. Read more about the workshop. For more information contact Ian Anthony.  

    
    
 
29 Aug.
New York
  SIPRI expert presents at SALW Programme of Action side event
SIPRI Senior Researcher Mark Bromley attended a side-event at the Second Review Conference of the UN Programme of Action on small arms and light weapons (SALW) organized by the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE). The event focused on the OSCE's work in the fields of export controls and electronic record-keeping. Bromley presented the template for an end user certificate (EUC) for SALW, which was jointly developed by the SIPRI Arms Transfers Programme and the OSCE Conflict Prevention Centre. Read more about the EUC template. Contact Mark Bromley or Paul Holtom for more information.  

    
    
 
MEDIA

SIPRI in the media


Kristofer Bergh was quoted on Arctic issues in an article in the New York Times.

Mathieu Duchatel spoke to Le Figaro about China–Japan relations. Bernt Berger also discussed China–Japan issues with Die Welt and Deutsche Welle, and was quoted in Gazeta (in Polish). Oliver Bräuner was also quoted in the Asia Times on the issue.

Siemon T. Wezeman discussed the price of the JAS Gripen on Radio Sweden and with Defence News, and on how the economic crisis is advantageous for the Swedish Gripen with Svenska Dagbladet.

Pieter D. Wezeman was quoted on US arms sales records by The National and on Chinese arms transfers to Africa for Deutsche Welle (in Chinese).

Dr Sam Perlo-Freeman was quoted on the budget situation in Greece in a post in Judy Dempsey's Strategic Europe blog that was later published in Business Insider.

SIPRI's arms transfers data was quoted in an International Relations and Security Network feature on the arms trade, and in a Reuters article on China's military–industrial complex.

SIPRI STAFF NEWS
Jakob Hallgren appointed new SIPRI Deputy Director

SIPRI is pleased to announce that Jakob Hallgren
has been appointed as SIPRI's new Deputy Director. Before joining SIPRI he worked at the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs, most recently as the head of its humanitarian section. He has also undertaken assignments at the Swedish Embassy in Sarajevo, the Swedish Permanent Mission in Geneva and the Swedish Armed Forces’ Headquarters. During his career he has worked closely with a variety of organizations in the fields of mediation, peacebuilding, security systems reform and humanitarian operations. He holds a Master of Science in International Relations from the London School of Economics and Political Science.

SIPRI
Jakob Hallgren
PUBLICATIONS

Recent publications

SIPRI  

SIPRI Yearbook 2012: Armaments, Disarmament and International Security
The 43rd edition of the SIPRI Yearbook includes coverage of developments during 2011 in armed conflicts, multilateral peace operations, military expenditure, arms production, international arms transfers, world nuclear forces and fissile material stocks, nuclear arms control and non-proliferation, reduction of security threats from chemical and biological materials, conventional arms control, controls on security-related international transfers and multilateral arms embargoes. Read more or order a copy.

     
report   SIPRI Policy Paper
Verifying a Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty: Technical and Organizational Considerations

Shannon N. Kile and Robert E. Kelley
The renewed momentum behind international efforts to negotiate a fissile material cut-off treaty (FMCT) has focused attention on how the proposed ban on the production of fissile material will be verified: what type of organization should be given this responsibility and what technical expertise will it require? The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is often identified as the obvious choice for this role, given its long experience in implementing nuclear safeguards agreements. Many of the tools and procedures developed by the IAEA for safeguards purposes could be directly applied to verifying a future FMCT. However, without changes to its existing safeguards mandate and practices, the IAEA would be hindered in verifying treaty compliance in the nuclear weapon-possessing states. This Policy Paper proposes an alternative arrangement that, while taking advantage of the IAEA's experience and expertise, creates a verification body tailored specifically for an FMCT with the requisite legal mandate and technical capabilities. Download the Policy Paper.
     
 report  

SIPRI Insights on Peace and Security
Implementing an arms trade treaty: mapping assistance to strengthen arms transfer controls

Paul Holtom and Mark Bromley
It is widely recognized that many states parties to an arms trade treaty (ATT) will need assistance to fulfil their treaty obligations. The creation of an ATT will require the expansion of existing assistance programmes as well as the development of new approaches and efforts specifically designed to assist states with treaty implementation. Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of existing assistance could help to ensure that mistakes made under other instruments are not repeated and enable actors to draw on existing good practices. This paper therefore maps existing assistance efforts aimed at strengthening transfer controls for conventional arms, dual-use goods or small arms and light weapons (SALW). Download the Insights paper.

     
 report  

SIPRI Insights on Peace and Security
The Arctic policies of Canada and the United States: domestic motives and international context

Kristofer Bergh
The melting polar ice creates a fundamentally new geopolitical situation in the Arctic that warrants attention at both national and international levels. The ability and willingness of Canada and the United States to address the mix of social, economic and military challenges facing the region will be dependent on a range of domestic conditions and processes. While the USA is just waking up to these changes, Canada has made the Arctic a top political priority. This paper explores the domestic motives for the Arctic policies of Canada and the USA and their impacts on the two countries’ foreign policies. It describes the Arctic foreign policies of the two states, outlines the complex relationship between domestic politics and Arctic foreign policy in each country and discusses the ways in which the two countries' Arctic policies interact in the international political and diplomatic arenas. Download the Insights paper.

     
 report  

SIPRI Policy Brief
Natural resources and conflict: a new security challenge for the European Union

Nicholas Garrett and Anna Piccinni
Conflict over natural resources is likely to pose significant threats to European security, and the European Union therefore needs to elaborate a comprehensive strategy to meet and overcome these threats. This strategy should combine existing instruments and approaches more effectively, while also finding new ways to balance the imperatives of access to natural resources, regulation of markets and conflict prevention, mitigation and resolution. Such an approach requires a better understanding of natural resource-related security and conflict challenges, as well as an analysis of how current policies affect these challenges. The strategy should therefore be based on comprehensive research into the connection between natural resources and conflict financing; the shifting nature of state effectiveness in the context of natural resource agreements; the link between resource conflict and climate change; and the impact of conflict over natural resources on the multipolar global economy. Download the Policy Brief.

     
 

SIPRI Fact Sheet
Trends in international arms transfers, 2011
Paul Holtom, Mark Bromley, Pieter D. Wezeman and Siemon T. Wezeman
The SIPRI Arms Transfers Database now contains information on all international transfers of major conventional weapons from 1950 to the end of 2011. It is the only publicly available resource providing consistent data on international arms transfers for this length of time. This Fact Sheet describes the trends in international arms transfers that are revealed by the new data. It lists the main suppliers and recipients for the period 2007–11 and describes the changes in regional trends. Download the Fact Sheet.

     
 

SIPRI Background Paper
Military capabilities in the Arctic
Siemon T. Wezeman
Climate change is making the Arctic region—and its expected natural resources—more accessible. Overlapping claims by the five Arctic littoral states—Canada, Denmark, Norway, Russia and the United States—have led to fears of future conflict in the region. In recent years all five countries have included increased protection of Arctic territories and claims in their defence policies. All five have also started to increase their military presences and capabilities in the Arctic region by acquiring Arctic-specific equipment, improving military infrastructure or increasing military forces. Download the Background Paper.

     
report  

SIPRI Policy Paper
Maritime Transport and Destabilizing Commodity Flows
Hugh Griffiths and Michael Jenks
Maritime transport flows are the lifeblood of global trade. They are also the dominant means of transporting a range of potentially destabilizing commodities that threaten states and societies throughout the developing and developed worlds. This SIPRI Policy Paper aims to fill an important knowledge gap by—for the first time in a public document—providing a comprehensive mapping and analysis of the ships involved in the clandestine transport of narcotics, arms and dual-use goods essential to the development of weapons of mass destruction. It also offers practical solutions to one of the most important global security challenges for policymakers, civil society and industry in the 21st century. Download the Policy Paper.

     
    Other publications

Bromley, M., 'Prosecuting illicit arms brokers: improving the European record', International Relations and Security Network, 4 Sep. 2012.

Bromley, M., Cooper, N. and Holtom, P., 'The UN Arms Trade Treaty: arms export controls, the human security agenda and the lessons of history', International Affairs, vol. 80, no. 5 (2012), pp. 1029–1048.

Gill, B.
, 'The boom economy. why 2012 is a great year to be in the arms business', Foreign Policy, 6 Sep. 2012.

Galsworthy, M., Hristovski, D., Lusa, L., Ernst, K., Irwin, R., Charlesworth, K., Wismar, M. and McKee, M.
, ‘Academic output of 9 years of EU investment into health research’, The Lancet, vol. 380, no. 9846 (15 Sep. 2012), pp. 971–972.

Hart, J., ‘Towards a successful Third Review Conference’, OPCW Today, vol. 1, no. 2 (Aug. 2012), pp. 15–16.

Zmorzynska, A. and Jeremias, G.
, ‘Managing technology transfers under the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention’, Non-proliferation Paper No. 21, Sep. 2012, 16 p.
  © SIPRI 2012. ISSN 1654-8264. Contact SIPRI by email: sipri@sipri.org; telephone: +46 8/655 97 00; fax: +46 8/655 97 33;
or post: SIPRI, Signalistgatan 9, SE-169 70 Solna, Sweden, or visit us online at www.sipri.org
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